(Free pdf) Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction






#55654 in eBooks 2015-09-29 2015-09-29File Name: B00RKO6MS8

229 of 247 people found the following review helpful. More about superforecasters than about superforecastingBy JackalThere are two kind of pop-science books; one deep and thoughtful based on years of research, one quick and dirty written by a ghost-writer. This book is of the latter kind. Tetlock wrote Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? about a decade ago. That book was deep and thoughtful. I had expected his new book to be an update with ten more years of research andbull; "Tetlock's work is fascinating and important, and he and Gardner have written it up here with verve." --The Financial Timesnbsp;bull; "Superforecasting is the most important scientific study I've ever read on prediction." --The Bloomberg ViewAbout the AuthorPHILIP E. TETLOCK is the AnnenbergAnbsp;New York Times BestsellerAnnbsp;Economistnbsp;Best Book of 2015"The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman'snbsp;Thinking, Fast and Slow."mdash;Jason Zweig,nbsp;Thenbsp;Wall Street Journal nbsp; Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weekrsquo;s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landma...


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You can specify the type of files you want, for your gadget.Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction   |  Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner. I really enjoyed this book and have already told so many people about it!

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