[Read free] Stalking the Black Swan: Research and Decision Making in a World of Extreme Volatility (Columbia Business School Publishing)






#1730030 in eBooks 2010-04-22 2010-04-22File Name: B0097D7AEU

7 of 8 people found the following review helpful. Stalking the TurkeyBy AbacusThe author is highly educated with an MBA from Chicago, CPA, and a CFA. He is highly qualified, having spent 15 years at Morgan Stanley in senior analytical positions. However, he demonstrates little understanding of highly quantitative methods he name drops throughout the book. I'll point at a couple of specific examples below.He spends an entire chapter (8) on Monte Carlo simulation. But, he does not understandAs a respected equity analyst, Kenneth A. Posner has seen firsthand what it means to be blindsided by black swans. In this deeply thoughtful and heartfelt book, he traces out the sources of what we think of as 'surprise events' and offers a pragmatic approach for confronting and hopefully mitigatiKenneth A. Posner spent close to two decades as a Wall Street analyst, tracking the so-called "specialty finance" sector, which included controversial companies such as Countrywide, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, CIT, and MasterCard mdash;many of which were caught in the subprime mortgage and capital markets crisis of 2007. While extreme volatility is nothing new in finance, the recent downturn caught many off guard, indicating that the traditional approach to decision making had let them down. Intro...


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